Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

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Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by YoungBloodAggie » April 29th, 2019, 8:40 am

Connelly released his USU preview today, and it is about what we expected. See link:

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... ule-roster

He mentions the questions about Gary returning and trying to run things back, which are fair. I think we can all see how well things have been going so far with Gary, but an outsider would be right to ask these questions.

He also highlights the receiving corps and offensive line as potential weak spots, but gives lots of praise to our defense.

This has got me pumped for the season!
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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by thegreendalegelf » April 29th, 2019, 3:39 pm

I very much share his feelings. Our OL is my biggest concern. I feel like Love does a great job spreading the ball so the WR corp doesn't scare me as much.

While I love Gary and I feel good about the hire, I see where Bill is coming from. Most coaches don't do better on their second trip around. I hope Gary does and I feel like he has everything he needs to do as well or better. I am afraid that things here have changed in the last 6 years.



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by newhouse9 » April 29th, 2019, 4:05 pm

OLine is a huge spot, assuming that Jordan performs like last year when under duress. He struggled against pressure.



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by donlarson8 » April 29th, 2019, 4:22 pm

He mentioned that having an inexperienced O-Line doesn’t usually hurt teams as much as you might think. I thought that was interesting.


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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by YoungBloodAggie » April 29th, 2019, 4:37 pm

donlarson8 wrote:
April 29th, 2019, 4:22 pm
He mentioned that having an inexperienced O-Line doesn’t usually hurt teams as much as you might think. I thought that was interesting.


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What he said was that an inexperienced offensive line is not captured by his S&P+ calculations as it should be. Given the lack of statistical output we get from offensive lines, it is hard to quantify how individual linemen contribute to the overall success of the team and therefore hard to project into the future.
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Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by Jjoey53 » April 30th, 2019, 11:42 am

Seems like a very objective take. I do think 11 wins again will be very hard due to a very tough schedule. Bottom line though, it will be a very exciting season.

He is right about one thing, Aggie fans did long for the past regarding the GA hire.

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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by NavyBlueAggie » April 30th, 2019, 5:40 pm

Our defense seems good to very solid and it gives me hope. I think of the old adage that "Offense wins games but Defense wins Championships". Knock on wood for a season with few injuries in this increasingly tough sport. Go AGGIES...



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by jpswensen » May 7th, 2019, 9:35 am

He also put up his MWC 2019 Preview on the same day.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... r-rankings


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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by RigAggie » May 7th, 2019, 2:35 pm

jpswensen wrote:
May 7th, 2019, 9:35 am
He also put up his MWC 2019 Preview on the same day.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... r-rankings
I get why he thinks Boise State is in a tier all alone, "They've Earned it". However if you look at the last few years, how many championships have they won? Isn't this a preview of the MWC, not how well the Bronco's are regarded? Since 2012 they have won the football championship 3 times. That is NOT domination and in a league of their own. They've been good, sure, but not all alone.

I know I'm biased, but based on the past years results, I would put the tier like this:

Tier 1:
Fresno State (Has had arguably the most success the last 5-6 years)
Boise State
Utah State (Based upon last year and expectations with returning power players).

Tier 2:
San Diego State
etc.....



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by Aglicious » May 7th, 2019, 3:08 pm

RigAggie wrote:
May 7th, 2019, 2:35 pm
jpswensen wrote:
May 7th, 2019, 9:35 am
He also put up his MWC 2019 Preview on the same day.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... r-rankings
I get why he thinks Boise State is in a tier all alone, "They've Earned it". However if you look at the last few years, how many championships have they won? Isn't this a preview of the MWC, not how well the Bronco's are regarded? Since 2012 they have won the football championship 3 times. That is NOT domination and in a league of their own. They've been good, sure, but not all alone.

I know I'm biased, but based on the past years results, I would put the tier like this:

Tier 1:
Fresno State (Has had arguably the most success the last 5-6 years)
Boise State
Utah State (Based upon last year and expectations with returning power players).

Tier 2:
San Diego State
etc.....
If anyone belongs in Tier 1 with BSU, it is SDSU (if we are going on the last 5-6 years). In fact, under the current MWC membership in place since 2013, SDSU has just 6 less wins than BSU and they are the only two teams that have gone to a bowl game in all six seasons. Fresno State does have a couple of championships to hang their hat on but they are also aided by playing in the much weaker West Division. Record wise, the Bulldogs are closer to CSU than they are SDSU.

Overall FB records under current MWC membership
BSU - 60-20 (.750) - 6 bowls
SDSU - 54-26 (.675) - 6 bowls
USU - 45-34 (.570) - 5 bowls
Fresno St. - 43-36 (.544) - 4 bowls
CSU - 42-36 (.538) - 5 bowls
AFA - 40-36 (.526) - 3 bowls
UNR - 34-41 (.453) - 3 bowls
WYO - 33-42 (.440) - 2 bowls
UNM - 29-45 (.392) - 2 bowls
UNLV - 25-49 (.338) - 1 bowl
UH - 26-52 (.333) - 2 bowls
SJSU - 22-52 (.297) - 1 bowl
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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by BigBlueDart » May 7th, 2019, 5:19 pm

A big part of why he Boise St in it's own tier is due to their consistent recruiting. Year in and year out they are better than anyone else in the MWC. That hasn't quite played out with the same level of domination on the field. And going into this year I think they have some question marks with key players being replaced, but I do kind of get it.



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by aggies22 » May 8th, 2019, 5:48 am

I guess I see the argument with the 75% conference winning percentage BUT domination means closing out weaker teams and consistently winning conference championships which they have NOT done.



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Re: Bill Connelly's Utah State Preview

Post by thegreendalegelf » May 8th, 2019, 9:10 am

RigAggie wrote:
May 7th, 2019, 2:35 pm
jpswensen wrote:
May 7th, 2019, 9:35 am
He also put up his MWC 2019 Preview on the same day.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... r-rankings
I get why he thinks Boise State is in a tier all alone, "They've Earned it". However if you look at the last few years, how many championships have they won? Isn't this a preview of the MWC, not how well the Bronco's are regarded? Since 2012 they have won the football championship 3 times. That is NOT domination and in a league of their own. They've been good, sure, but not all alone.

I know I'm biased, but based on the past years results, I would put the tier like this:

Tier 1:
Fresno State (Has had arguably the most success the last 5-6 years)
Boise State
Utah State (Based upon last year and expectations with returning power players).

Tier 2:
San Diego State
etc.....
These tiers aren't based on last years results or even the past in general. They are based on where the team are expected to be next season. Yes those expectations use the past but there isn't anyone in the MW that is expected to be on the same level as BSU next year. USU, FSU, and SDSU can be up there but they aren't as safe of a guess.



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