ESPN Predictor - Week 5

slcagg · Post by **slcagg** » September 22nd, 2019, 12:43 pm

Below is an update to the espn predictor following last weeks results.

1. Stoney Brook: Week 2: 92.4%. Win
2. San Diego state: Week 2: 52.2%, Week 3: 56.6%, Week 4: 55.8% Win
3. Colorado state: Week 2: 77.9%, Week 3: 85.1%, Week 4: 87.8%, Week 5: 89.8%
4. LSU: Week 2: 1.6%, Week 3: 3.2%, Week 4: 3.9%, Week 5, 4.4%
5. Nevada: Week 2: 72.1%, Week 3: 92.9%, Week 4: 92.9%, Week 5: 93%
6. Air Force: Week 2: 29%, Week 3: 45.5%, Week 4: 41.6%, Week 5: 47.1%
7. BYU: Week 2: 37.4%, Week 3: 49.5%, Week 4: 47.3%, Week 5: 59.9%
8. Fresno: Week 2: 33%, Week 3: 47.2%, Week 4: 49%, Week 5: 56.4%
9. Wyoming: Week 2: 57%, Week 3: 69.8%, Week 4: 78.7%, Week 5: 80.7%
10. Boise: Week 2: 24%, Week 3: 45.8%, Week 4: 44.4%, Week 5: 47%
11. New Mexico: Week 2: 67.7%, Week 3: 78.7%, Week 4: 83.1%, Week 5: 86.2%

Seems we are continuing to trend upwards.

AggieFBObsession · Post by **AggieFBObsession** » September 22nd, 2019, 12:53 pm

We can beat BYU now. Happy to hear it. I'll keep that in mind

JSHarvey · Post by **JSHarvey** » September 22nd, 2019, 1:05 pm

Thanks for compiling this.

It is fun to see the week to week changes.

Did ESPN do a Week One prediction? If so, what was their probability expectation for the Wake Forest game?

ineptimusprime · Post by **ineptimusprime** » September 22nd, 2019, 1:16 pm

These were pretty accurate week to week last year, IIRC.

Post by **aggies22** » September 22nd, 2019, 2:56 pm

And just like that, we're projected to get 8. I'll stick with my projection of 9. We'll get Air Force too.

BigBlueSteve · Post by **BigBlueSteve** » September 22nd, 2019, 5:29 pm

I just want to point out that our chances of beating LSU have increased by 275%!

WasatchAggie · Post by **WasatchAggie** » September 22nd, 2019, 10:52 pm

By chance what were they saying about SJS and Arkansas? Do you have a link? I looked and couldn’t find anything my Google foo isn’t on tonight.

Aggie in Boise · Post by **Aggie in Boise** » September 23rd, 2019, 6:24 am

ESPN Predictor also predicts that Wake Forest will win all the rest of their games with the exception of Clemson. I hope ESPN is wrong and they go undefeated.

Post by **aggies22** » September 23rd, 2019, 6:58 am

AggieFBObsession wrote: ↑
September 22nd, 2019, 12:53 pm
We can beat BYU now. Happy to hear it. I'll keep that in mind

I didn't think we had a chance until ESPN told me we do.

AggieFBObsession · Post by **AggieFBObsession** » September 23rd, 2019, 6:59 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
September 23rd, 2019, 6:58 am

AggieFBObsession wrote: ↑
September 22nd, 2019, 12:53 pm
We can beat BYU now. Happy to hear it. I'll keep that in mind
I didn't think we had a chance until ESPN told me we do.

Exactly. I was so confused!

taniataylor · Post by **taniataylor** » September 26th, 2019, 11:03 am

I like how our chances of beating LSU increased to 4.4%....we got this!!!!

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