Last week:

USU - 21.99 (21) (104.48 (121) rush, 267.17 (307) pass, 371.64 (428)total)
Boise St - 34.00 (56) (184.56 (297) rush, 288.07 (187) pass, 472.63 (484) total)

The numbers guessed a little low on our offensive production (though proportional). Looks like we completely gave up on defending the run, though. Pass and rushing performance for Boise were more or less opposite from what was predicted, here. I was surprised to see how many yards we got and that Boise didn't get more. I guess that comes down to the pick-6 and punt return, as well as Red Zone issues on both sides of the ball.

Interestingly enough, our relative offensive production was good this past game. I mean, I know it didn't feel like it. There are some clear issues (Red Zone), but it has me thinking I need to not judge Sanford too quickly, yet. Our defensive numbers are not looking great, though. Honestly, if anything I think Ena would need to be reassessed before Sanford, but I'm not going to call for his head just yet, either. I'm hoping Gary can mentor him (assuming Gary still has his defensive chops).

New Mexico has been interesting this year, in that while they look like the worst team in the MWC in the win-loss columns, they are still ranking above 2 or 3 other teams in this analysis. It appears they have pretty close to average offense, with their run game being pretty good, but their pass game a bit weak. They do struggle to actually score, though. On defense they are okay at stopping the run, but really they are terrible in every other facet. So, while their run game worries me a little, I see their pass defense and I start to salivate. Looking for a 2 touchdown margin victory here.

USU
Score O: 27.4 Avg; 24.7 Opp. D; 2.6 ppg better; 10.68%
Rush O: 144.9 Avg; 137.9 Opp. D; 7.0 ypg better; 5.07%
Pass O: 285.4 Avg; 231.2 Opp. D; 54.2 ypg better; 23.43%
Total O: 430.3 Avg; 369.1 Opp. D; 61.2 ypg better; 16.58%
Score D: 29.4 Avg; 30.6 Opp. O; 1.2 ppg better; 3.90%
Rush D: 190.6 Avg; 179.9 Opp. O; -10.7 ypg worse; -5.94%
Pass D: 245.2 Avg; 242.0 Opp. O; -3.2 ypg worse; -1.30%
Total D: 435.8 Avg; 421.9 Opp. O; -13.9 ypg worse; -3.29%

New Mexico
Score O: 22.0 Avg; 26.3 Opp. D; -4.3 ppg worse; -16.26%
Rush O: 198.8 Avg; 167.0 Opp. D; 31.8 ypg better; 19.04%
Pass O: 203.0 Avg; 220.1 Opp. D; -17.1 ypg worse; -7.75%
Total O: 401.8 Avg; 387.1 Opp. D; 14.7 ypg better; 3.80%
Score D: 37.1 Avg; 29.2 Opp. O; -7.9 ppg worse; -26.92%
Rush D: 161.4 Avg; 165.4 Opp. O; 4.0 ypg better; 2.44%
Pass D: 335.0 Avg; -87.3 Opp. O; -87.3 ypg worse; -35.23%
Total D: 496.4 Avg; 413.1 Opp. O; -83.3 ypg better; -20.15%

And the official BBD BS prediction:
USU - 37.48 (154.63 rush, 380.90 pass, 535.53 total)
New Mexico - 22.95 (215.95 rush, 217.13 pass, 433.08 total)

Here is where both teams rank in the various categories within the conference (if BYU were in the conference):

Score O: USU-5th; UNM-9th
Rush O: USU-5th; UNM-3rd
Pass O: USU-3rd; UNM-8th
Total O: USU-2nd; UNM-7th

Score D: USU-5th; UNM-12th
Rush D: USU-8th; UNM-6th
Pass D: USU-7th; UNM-12th
Total D: USU-8th; UNM-12th

And an overall ranking of the conference looks like this:

1. Boise St (+90.60%)
2. Air Force (+81.01%)
3. USU (+27.87%)
4. SDSU (+24.27%)
5. Hawai'i (+21.74%)
6. Wyoming (+17.97%)
7. Fresno St (+4.84%)
8. SJSU (-18.47%)
9. Colorado St (-18.63%)
10. Nevada (-52.50%)
11. UNLV (-58.50%)
12. New Mexico (-59.52%)

Never mind about New Mexico being above a couple of teams. They're back to the bottom this week. Interesting how low I've ranked Nevada week to week, though, yet they have somehow managed to get to 7 wins (and may get 8). I can only guess that it's because their wins haven't been blowouts, but a number of their losses have. Still weird.

The 3rd "best team" in the MWC got spanked hard by the #1 team. It happens I guess.

My favorite thing about these posts are the titles

I love it that your predicted score, 37-23, is within a couple of points of mine, 34-23.