Jay Bilas analysis fail

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Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by hipsterdoofus21 » March 19th, 2019, 7:21 am

From his recent game by game breakdown:

No. 8 Utah State vs. No. 9 Washington: Utah State is one of the better passing teams in the nation but not one of the better defensive teams. The Aggies will have to outscore Washington, which can be a challenge against the zone. Sam Merrill is a complete player who averages over 20 points per game, and Neemias Queta is a long-armed and very talented young shot-blocker and rebounder. Add in Diogo Brito, a versatile and tough wing who can shoot and defend multiple spots, and Quinn Taylor, a skilled senior who knows how to play and is a very good passer, and you have a legit team that can make plays against an unconventional defense. Utah State beat Saint Mary's, UC Irvine and Nevada this season, and it is good on the offensive glass but not great at shooting. Washington is an interesting group. Talented, with a defender capable of being National Defensive Player of the Year in Matisse Thybulle, the Huskies will have to play their best game to win this one. Take Utah State.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by NVAggie » March 19th, 2019, 7:32 am

I feel like I am in the bizarro world




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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by aggies22 » March 19th, 2019, 7:34 am

What? Did he even bother watching any of our games?



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Aggie19 » March 19th, 2019, 7:37 am

Haha! Flat out lazy.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by ChicAggie » March 19th, 2019, 8:02 am

Bilas's level of analysis has always been superficial. Not a lot of wattage in the cottage.
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by superaggie » March 19th, 2019, 8:12 am

He is using code words. He thinks we are bad at defense because we are not “athletic”. Which means because we are white we can’t play defense. Jay Bias, as I like to call him, thinks the speed in the power conference is far superior to any thing we have seen. All I can say is the MWC is built off of 6’6” plus slashers. Every team this year had fantastic guard play outside of SJSU. Even SJSU had that fantastic shooter. Which means he never watched a game past the central time zone.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Blue42 » March 19th, 2019, 8:36 am

According to the NCAA website, Utah State ranks 11th in FG percentage defense, with opponents shooting just 39.3% against us. Oh, and we’re 8th in defensive rebounds per game, averaging 29.4.

“Not one of the better defensive teams”


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by AggieFBObsession » March 19th, 2019, 8:41 am

He only understands how to say one word. Duke.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by hipsterdoofus21 » March 19th, 2019, 8:50 am

He says we weren't great shooters, yet we averaged 47% FGA which was the same as his precious Duke and good enough for 41st in the nation and averaged 79 pts per game which was 37th in the nation, and 41st in FT percentage. Unless he's solely talking about 3pt FGA in which we were 115th, I can't figure out where he's coming form with this "not great shooters" comment.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Aggie19 » March 19th, 2019, 8:55 am

"...and it is good on the offensive glass but not great at shooting." We are also # 41 in field goal percentage. Not top in the NCAA by any means, but far from not great. We shoot 47.4%, that Duke team he loves so much, 47.7%. Good work Bilas, you should fire the intern you have do all your analysis, you lazy bugger.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by ChicAggie » March 19th, 2019, 9:21 am

Blue42 wrote:
March 19th, 2019, 8:36 am
According to the NCAA website, Utah State ranks 11th in FG percentage defense, with opponents shooting just 39.3% against us. Oh, and we’re 8th in defensive rebounds per game, averaging 29.4.

“Not one of the better defensive teams”
Out of 353 DI basketball programs, USU finished 46th in DRtg (93.46 Pts Allowed/100 Poss) and 48th in ORtg (111.88), for a Net Rating of 18.42 (48th) (two spots ahead of Washington).

Top 5 schools in DRtg are Michigan (82.30), Texas Tech (82.71), Duke (82.90), Virginia (83.75), and Wisconsin (84.84). Next 5 are Kansas St., Va Commonwealth, Michigan St., Gonzaga, and UNC.

Top 5 schools in ORtg are Gonzaga (126.00), Virginia (125.15), Tennessee (123.51), Michigan State (123.37), and Purdue (122.90). Next 5 are Duke, UNC, Va Tech, Auburn, and Kentucky.

Top 5 schools in NetRtg are Virginia (41.40), Gonzaga (39.33), Duke (39.19), Michigan State (37.25), and UNC (34.06). Next 5 are Michigan, Kentucky, Tennessee, Texas Tech, and Purdue.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by aggiesdidwhat??? » March 19th, 2019, 9:53 am

Can someone send this dumbass an update on our stats. And ask that maybe he take a second and at least look those over before breaking down our team!

GEEZ!



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by captain68 » March 19th, 2019, 10:03 am

I think he’s done us a favor! Let Washington come into the game thinking they can score at will and that we can’t hit a basket. Let’s see how that game ends up for them. Unfortunately, I think Washington will do a little more due diligence in their scouting report.
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Blue42 » March 19th, 2019, 10:04 am

Also, “the Aggies will have to outscore Washington.”

Really groundbreaking analysis there. To win a game, you have to score more than your opponent? Since when? I can see why he gets paid the big bucks by ESPN. Not just anyone would know that outscoring your opponent is a key to winning the game. :sarcasm:
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Mr. Sneelock » March 19th, 2019, 10:15 am

That is absolutely comical analysis. It is almost exactly wrong in every respect. Is he just trolling us?

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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by NVAggie » March 19th, 2019, 10:35 am

Washington is an elite defensive team. Their Adjusted Defensive Rating is 93.6. Good for #20 in the country. For comparison sake, we are #47, Houston is #13, and UNR is #33. We haven't faced a many defenses like Washington this year. They force a lot of turnovers, gather a lot of steals, and block a lot of shots. This makes me nervous when I think of our troubles last week.

Offensively, Washington is average. They have an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 107. This translates to #119. For comparison, we are #32, CSU is #114, BSU is #117, and UCI comes in at #125. We have faced many offenses as efficient as Washington.

This will be a tough match up for USU. We don't face the 2-3 zone very often. Washington is long and athletic which makes a zone very difficult. We don't have elite dribble penetrators that can break down the zone. We do however move the ball around very well. We need to be patient and make open shots. We cannot allow Washington to get easy buckets. Continue to make them work for their points. They are not a great offensive team. If we allow layups on turnovers then we are toast. I think this is a winnable game and am curious how we will attack their zone.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by BigBlueDart » March 19th, 2019, 10:53 am

Okay, someone want to look up Utah's stats and rankings for the year? Maybe he looked up the wrong team.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Aggiealum13 » March 19th, 2019, 10:54 am

At least he picked us to win, but very lackluster analysis.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Blue23 » March 19th, 2019, 10:59 am

There's 68 teams in this thing. There's no way these analysts are looking deep into every team, there's not enough time in the day. Analysis is going to be superficial and most analysts aren't going to know much about the teams they're talking about. The farther you make it into the tournament, the deeper the analysis will get. This is true for every team besides the top seeds.
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by breadysmith » March 19th, 2019, 11:25 am

NVAggie wrote:
March 19th, 2019, 10:35 am
Washington is an elite defensive team. Their Adjusted Defensive Rating is 93.6. Good for #20 in the country. For comparison sake, we are #47, Houston is #13, and UNR is #33. We haven't faced a many defenses like Washington this year. They force a lot of turnovers, gather a lot of steals, and block a lot of shots. This makes me nervous when I think of our troubles last week.

Offensively, Washington is average. They have an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 107. This translates to #119. For comparison, we are #32, CSU is #114, BSU is #117, and UCI comes in at #125. We have faced many offenses as efficient as Washington.

This will be a tough match up for USU. We don't face the 2-3 zone very often. Washington is long and athletic which makes a zone very difficult. We don't have elite dribble penetrators that can break down the zone. We do however move the ball around very well. We need to be patient and make open shots. We cannot allow Washington to get easy buckets. Continue to make them work for their points. They are not a great offensive team. If we allow layups on turnovers then we are toast. I think this is a winnable game and am curious how we will attack their zone.
I think the fact that we've played some good defensive teams will help us, and played them very recently. I'd be interested to see where SDSU was on that list you mention. Then having to suffer through and hopefully learn from the New Mexico press that we are able to be more careful and deliberate in our passing and cut down on the turnovers Washington could force because of it. Like you point out in your next paragraph I think the bigger question for us is how will Washington fare against our defense.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by NVAggie » March 19th, 2019, 11:28 am

Oddly enough, SDSU ranks 185 for AOR and 80 for ADR. These are from Ken Pomeroy



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by hipsterdoofus21 » March 19th, 2019, 11:37 am

NVAggie wrote:
March 19th, 2019, 10:35 am
Washington is an elite defensive team. Their Adjusted Defensive Rating is 93.6. Good for #20 in the country. For comparison sake, we are #47, Houston is #13, and UNR is #33. We haven't faced a many defenses like Washington this year. They force a lot of turnovers, gather a lot of steals, and block a lot of shots. This makes me nervous when I think of our troubles last week.

Offensively, Washington is average. They have an Adjusted Offensive Rating of 107. This translates to #119. For comparison, we are #32, CSU is #114, BSU is #117, and UCI comes in at #125. We have faced many offenses as efficient as Washington.

This will be a tough match up for USU. We don't face the 2-3 zone very often. Washington is long and athletic which makes a zone very difficult. We don't have elite dribble penetrators that can break down the zone. We do however move the ball around very well. We need to be patient and make open shots. We cannot allow Washington to get easy buckets. Continue to make them work for their points. They are not a great offensive team. If we allow layups on turnovers then we are toast. I think this is a winnable game and am curious how we will attack their zone.
It'll be interesting to see how it all plays out. The PAC 12 was not a strong conference this year. Did that improve Washington's defensive stats? How strong is the MW really? It's hard to base much on our OOC performance either because we are a drastically different team now than we were 3 months ago.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by NVAggie » March 19th, 2019, 11:52 am

These numbers are standardized for 100 possessions. They cover the whole season, and they take into account strength of schedule.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by AggiesForever » March 19th, 2019, 12:29 pm

Jay Bills does not write these things. He's got a team of ACC wannabes writing these for him so he doesn't have to take the time, and then they put it out under his name.

Jay "ACC" Bias. Love it!



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by scotlandog » March 19th, 2019, 5:22 pm

NVAggie wrote:Oddly enough, SDSU ranks 185 for AOR and 80 for ADR. These are from Ken Pomeroy
SDSU only started playing well at the end of the season. Season stats won’t tell the story of the team on the court in the championship or end of the season.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by NVAggie » March 19th, 2019, 5:24 pm

I don’t think there are any stat models that will do that. We also don’t have a snap shot of Washington at the end of the season.



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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by mcaggie1 » March 19th, 2019, 5:36 pm

ChicAggie wrote:
March 19th, 2019, 8:02 am
Bilas's level of analysis has always been superficial. Not a lot of wattage in the cottage.
You made me laugh. I have never heard that saying..."wattage in the cottage."
I like it.
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by WAaggieFan » March 19th, 2019, 6:17 pm

NVAggie wrote:I don’t think there are any stat models that will do that. We also don’t have a snap shot of Washington at the end of the season.
I do. I watched their championship game vs Oregon and couldn’t help but think USU can easily do to them what Pritchard did.


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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by trombone_ninja » March 19th, 2019, 7:59 pm

We are WAY better at rebounding the ball than Washington is. We'll get enough possessions to outscore them no matter how good their defense is.
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Re: Jay Bilas analysis fail

Post by Coloraggie » March 20th, 2019, 10:39 pm

WAaggieFan wrote:
March 19th, 2019, 6:17 pm
NVAggie wrote:I don’t think there are any stat models that will do that. We also don’t have a snap shot of Washington at the end of the season.
I do. I watched their championship game vs Oregon and couldn’t help but think USU can easily do to them what Pritchard did.


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I'm with WaAggieFan on this. I saw the championship game and their game a week prior. Oregon got surprisingly a lot of wide open looks from 3 and in the 10-15 foot range. Washington plays hard but in transition or on loose balls gets completely lost defensesively. On those situations where they tip the ball but we retain possession it is absolutely critical that Miller and Brito nail those open 3s.

I think we can take them if they play like they did Saturday. If they couldn't get up to play Oregon in the PAC-12 championship game when they had lost to Oregon a week earlier then I can't see the getting up for lowly USU.



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