So this is likely how the MWC bracket will end up...

ronburgandee · Post by **ronburgandee** » February 26th, 2020, 11:44 am

SDSU one seed.
USU two seed. (assuming we win in NM) 13-5
NEV three seed. (they will likely lose to SDSU) 12-6
UNLV four seed. (they are tied with Nev after beating BSU and SJSU, but lose tie bracker to Nev) 12-6
BSU five (likely to lose to UNLV) (BSU has tie bracker with CSU) 11-7
CSU six (likely to beat AF) 11-7

Hopefully, these hold true. Am I missing anything?

Dkdavis · Post by **Dkdavis** » February 26th, 2020, 11:46 am

If BSU wins though that puts them at #3 seed right?

Post by **Aglicious** » February 26th, 2020, 11:55 am

You can play with the different scenarios at the link below and it will spit out the tourney bracket results for you.

http://bball.notnothing.net/mwc.php?sport=mbb

Aggiealum13 · Post by **Aggiealum13** » February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm

I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?

aggietime · Post by **aggietime** » February 26th, 2020, 12:17 pm

Aglicious wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 11:55 am
You can play with the different scenarios at the link below and it will spit out the tourney bracket results for you.

http://bball.notnothing.net/mwc.php?sport=mbb

Cool website, thanks for the link. Am I reading it right that USU is locked into the 2 seed even if we lose Saturday and Nevada pulls off the upset? I've tried several different scenarios and USU is always 2 and Nevada is always 3.

With the caveat of we don't know how we'll look against NM Saturday, I prefer the 2 seed with potential opponents NM or SJSU. CSU will be a tough matchup wherever they end up in the quarterfinals, AFA can get hot from 3, and Fresno is better than their record.

MacAggie · Post by **MacAggie** » February 26th, 2020, 12:23 pm

aggietime wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:17 pm

Aglicious wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 11:55 am
You can play with the different scenarios at the link below and it will spit out the tourney bracket results for you.

http://bball.notnothing.net/mwc.php?sport=mbb
Cool website, thanks for the link. Am I reading it right that USU is locked into the 2 seed even if we lose Saturday and Nevada pulls off the upset? I've tried several different scenarios and USU is always 2 and Nevada is always 3.

With the caveat of we don't know how we'll look against NM Saturday, I prefer the 2 seed with potential opponents NM or SJSU. CSU will be a tough matchup wherever they end up in the quarterfinals, AFA can get hot from 3, and Fresno is better than their record.

I think if we lose to NM, UNLV beats Boise, and Nevada beats SDSU, we would be the 4 seed.

Aggie19 · Post by **Aggie19** » February 26th, 2020, 12:28 pm

MacAggie wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:23 pm

aggietime wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:17 pm

Aglicious wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 11:55 am
You can play with the different scenarios at the link below and it will spit out the tourney bracket results for you.

http://bball.notnothing.net/mwc.php?sport=mbb
Cool website, thanks for the link. Am I reading it right that USU is locked into the 2 seed even if we lose Saturday and Nevada pulls off the upset? I've tried several different scenarios and USU is always 2 and Nevada is always 3.

With the caveat of we don't know how we'll look against NM Saturday, I prefer the 2 seed with potential opponents NM or SJSU. CSU will be a tough matchup wherever they end up in the quarterfinals, AFA can get hot from 3, and Fresno is better than their record.
I think if we lose to NM, UNLV beats Boise, and Nevada beats SDSU, we would be the 4 seed.

That's correct. Under that scenario

MrBiggle · Post by **MrBiggle** » February 26th, 2020, 12:31 pm

Aggie19 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:28 pm

MacAggie wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:23 pm

aggietime wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:17 pm

Aglicious wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 11:55 am
You can play with the different scenarios at the link below and it will spit out the tourney bracket results for you.

http://bball.notnothing.net/mwc.php?sport=mbb
Cool website, thanks for the link. Am I reading it right that USU is locked into the 2 seed even if we lose Saturday and Nevada pulls off the upset? I've tried several different scenarios and USU is always 2 and Nevada is always 3.

With the caveat of we don't know how we'll look against NM Saturday, I prefer the 2 seed with potential opponents NM or SJSU. CSU will be a tough matchup wherever they end up in the quarterfinals, AFA can get hot from 3, and Fresno is better than their record.
I think if we lose to NM, UNLV beats Boise, and Nevada beats SDSU, we would be the 4 seed.
That's correct. Under that scenario

worst case scenario, please don't let this happen.

Usu0505 · Post by **Usu0505** » February 26th, 2020, 12:44 pm

I’d rather have BSU then Nevada In the semi. Nevada has come on strong. They will give SDSU a good run Saturday.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

aggietime · Post by **aggietime** » February 26th, 2020, 1:26 pm

Thanks for the clarification. I agree with USU0505, I'd rather see Boise than Nevada in a potential semifinal game. We need Boise to beat UNLV tonight and SDSU to hold serve against Nevada for Boise to grab the 3 seed.

sam tingey · Post by **sam tingey** » February 26th, 2020, 1:35 pm

I like beating Nevada though. Just make sure if we go up against Boise we better have a big lead in the last 3 minutes

Bank Shot · Post by **Bank Shot** » February 26th, 2020, 8:49 pm

Air Force beats New Mexico tonight, so if the favorites win out, we would face winner of Fresno-San Jose in first game.

Blitz79 · Post by **Blitz79** » February 26th, 2020, 8:54 pm

The Air Force win is good for us right? Since we played them twice and New Mexico just the one time.

Bank Shot · Post by **Bank Shot** » February 26th, 2020, 8:58 pm

I don't think so. Just my opinion, but I would rather play New Mexico the first round than Fresno.

Aggie84025 · Post by **Aggie84025** » February 26th, 2020, 9:29 pm

New Mexico has pretty much completely crumbled in. They have a lot of talent but boy have they struggled. Fresno will be a tough game assuming we can get the second seed and they beat San Jose in the first round game.

Aggiestyle · Post by **Aggiestyle** » February 26th, 2020, 9:59 pm

Even if we lose at NM, UNLV wins out, and SDSU beats Nevada, aren't we the 2 seed since we have tie breakers with Nevada, and UNLV? Help out a dummy.

Bank Shot · Post by **Bank Shot** » February 26th, 2020, 10:06 pm

Aggiestyle wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 9:59 pm
Even if we lose at NM, UNLV wins out, and SDSU beats Nevada, aren't we the 2 seed since we have tie breakers with Nevada, and UNLV? Help out a dummy.

I believe you are correct!

Dkdavis · Post by **Dkdavis** » February 26th, 2020, 10:07 pm

Aggiestyle wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 9:59 pm
Even if we lose at NM, UNLV wins out, and SDSU beats Nevada, aren't we the 2 seed since we have tie breakers with Nevada, and UNLV? Help out a dummy.

If we lose to New Mexico and Nevada beats San Diego then Nevada has a better record, and we don't have the tie breaker with UNLV which puts us to 4th seed. Although, if San Diego wins we have the tie breaker with Nevada who has it over UNLV leaving us in 2nd seed?

Aggiestyle · Post by **Aggiestyle** » February 26th, 2020, 10:22 pm

Wow, Thank You!

slcagg · Post by **slcagg** » February 26th, 2020, 10:37 pm

Unlv blowing out Boise. They are gonna cause problems in the tournament.

Dkdavis · Post by **Dkdavis** » February 26th, 2020, 10:43 pm

Sucks for Bosie cause they are going up against UNLV again in the tournament.

ineptimusprime · Post by **ineptimusprime** » February 26th, 2020, 11:31 pm

We will be the 2 seed if we win or if Nevada loses.
We will be the 3 seed if we lose, Nevada wins, and UNLV loses.
We will be the 4 seed if we lose and Nevada and UNLV both win.

These are the possibilities. We’re the late game so we’ll know exactly what’s on the line when we play.

slcagg · Post by **slcagg** » February 27th, 2020, 5:30 am

ineptimusprime wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 11:31 pm
We will be the 2 seed if we win or if Nevada loses.
We will be the 3 seed if we lose, Nevada wins, and UNLV loses.
We will be the 4 seed if we lose and Nevada and UNLV both win.

These are the possibilities. We’re the late game so we’ll know exactly what’s on the line when we play.

Just win.

Post by **aggies22** » February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?

I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » February 27th, 2020, 7:54 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?
I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.

It’s doubtful that Boise, as a #5 seed, will play us in the tourney. If they do, it will be because we are the #4 seed. So I’m hoping that eventuality doesn’t exist.

Post by **aggies22** » February 27th, 2020, 12:39 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 7:54 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?
I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.
It’s doubtful that Boise, as a #5 seed, will play us in the tourney. If they do, it will be because we are the #4 seed. So I’m hoping that eventuality doesn’t exist.

I just said that in hopes that Boise State were to land in the #3 seed.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » February 27th, 2020, 1:02 pm

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 12:39 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 7:54 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?
I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.
It’s doubtful that Boise, as a #5 seed, will play us in the tourney. If they do, it will be because we are the #4 seed. So I’m hoping that eventuality doesn’t exist.
I just said that in hopes that Boise State were to land in the #3 seed.

I get it. I’d love to have another crack at BSU. But the downside of playing them again is just too great. They are locked into the #5 seed and have no ability to get the #3 seed. Their regular season is over with an 11-7 record. Neither USU nor Nevada will have more than 6 losses. If UNLV were to lose to SJS (fat chance) they would also have 7 losses but win the tie-breaker over BSU. The only way we will see BSU again this season is for the Aggies to fall to the #4 seed. That would portend bad things happening — 1) us losing to NM; 2) having to play SDS to reach the conference finals; and 3) likely having to accept an NIT invite as a #1 seed.

We’ll need to be content with beating NM, beating Fresno St., beating UNLV and seeing what happens against SDS.

breadysmith · Post by **breadysmith** » February 27th, 2020, 1:40 pm

Aren't we most likely to get Nevada if we beat NM on Saturday and win our quarterfinal match up with presumably Fresno? That's assuming that UNLV beats the Josers and Nevada loses to SDSU as well...thus locking in Reno to the 3 seed by having the tie breaker over UNLV.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » February 27th, 2020, 2:07 pm

breadysmith wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 1:40 pm
Aren't we most likely to get Nevada if we beat NM on Saturday and win our quarterfinal match up with presumably Fresno? That's assuming that UNLV beats the Josers and Nevada loses to SDSU as well...thus locking in Reno to the 3 seed by having the tie breaker over UNLV.

Yes. Even should Nevada fall into a 12-6 tie with UNLV, Nevada wins the tie-breaker as they swept the Rebels. If we lose to NM and fall into a three-way tie with UNLV and Nevada at 12-6 UNLV would take the #4 seed as it would have a 1-2 record against both Nevada and USU while the latter two would each have a 2-1 record. We then would take the #2 seed given our 1-0 record against Nevada.

The trouble comes should Nevada beat SDS and we lose to NM. Then we lose the tie-breaker to UNLV and fall to the #4 seed. If we lose to NM I believe we are SOL on an at-large bid to the NCAAs anyway.

Post by **aggies22** » February 27th, 2020, 3:43 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 1:02 pm

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 12:39 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 7:54 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?
I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.
It’s doubtful that Boise, as a #5 seed, will play us in the tourney. If they do, it will be because we are the #4 seed. So I’m hoping that eventuality doesn’t exist.
I just said that in hopes that Boise State were to land in the #3 seed.
I get it. I’d love to have another crack at BSU. But the downside of playing them again is just too great. They are locked into the #5 seed and have no ability to get the #3 seed. Their regular season is over with an 11-7 record. Neither USU nor Nevada will have more than 6 losses. If UNLV were to lose to SJS (fat chance) they would also have 7 losses but win the tie-breaker over BSU. The only way we will see BSU again this season is for the Aggies to fall to the #4 seed. That would portend bad things happening — 1) us losing to NM; 2) having to play SDS to reach the conference finals; and 3) likely having to accept an NIT invite as a #1 seed.

We’ll need to be content with beating NM, beating Fresno St., beating UNLV and seeing what happens against SDS.

Post by **aggies22** » February 27th, 2020, 3:44 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 1:02 pm

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 12:39 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 7:54 am

aggies22 wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 6:42 am

Aggiealum13 wrote: ↑
February 26th, 2020, 12:06 pm
I guess the question is do we want Nevada or Boise State as the potential semifinal opponent?
I feel like we owe Boise State another beat down. Yes, I'm still bitter about how our game went down in Boise.
It’s doubtful that Boise, as a #5 seed, will play us in the tourney. If they do, it will be because we are the #4 seed. So I’m hoping that eventuality doesn’t exist.
I just said that in hopes that Boise State were to land in the #3 seed.
I get it. I’d love to have another crack at BSU. But the downside of playing them again is just too great. They are locked into the #5 seed and have no ability to get the #3 seed. Their regular season is over with an 11-7 record. Neither USU nor Nevada will have more than 6 losses. If UNLV were to lose to SJS (fat chance) they would also have 7 losses but win the tie-breaker over BSU. The only way we will see BSU again this season is for the Aggies to fall to the #4 seed. That would portend bad things happening — 1) us losing to NM; 2) having to play SDS to reach the conference finals; and 3) likely having to accept an NIT invite as a #1 seed.

We’ll need to be content with beating NM, beating Fresno St., beating UNLV and seeing what happens against SDS.

I guess I misunderstood some of the seeding scenarios. I thought Boise State could still slip in and snag the #3 spot. My bad.

USUaggie · Post by **USUaggie** » February 27th, 2020, 3:49 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 1:02 pm

We’ll need to be content with beating NM, beating Fresno St., beating UNLV and seeing what happens against SDS.

There is no way get UNLV unless it is in the championship game.

utaggies · Post by **utaggies** » February 27th, 2020, 3:57 pm

USUaggie wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 3:49 pm

utaggies wrote: ↑
February 27th, 2020, 1:02 pm

We’ll need to be content with beating NM, beating Fresno St., beating UNLV and seeing what happens against SDS.
There is no way get UNLV unless it is in the championship game.

You are correct. I should have said Nevada, not UNLV.

bluegrouse · Post by **bluegrouse** » February 29th, 2020, 5:54 pm

So as I understand it, because of the UNLV win, these are the scenarios:

Aggies win, Nevada wins = 2 seed
Aggies win, Nevada loses = 2 seed
Aggies lose, Nevada wins = 4 seed
Aggies lose, Nevada loses = 2 seed

Correct?

ineptimusprime · Post by **ineptimusprime** » February 29th, 2020, 6:01 pm

bluegrouse wrote: ↑
February 29th, 2020, 5:54 pm
So as I understand it, because of the UNLV win, these are the scenarios:

Aggies win, Nevada wins = 2 seed
Aggies win, Nevada loses = 2 seed
Aggies lose, Nevada wins = 4 seed
Aggies lose, Nevada loses = 2 seed

Correct?

I believe this is correct, sir. But beyond MW seeding, an at-large in the NCAA is on the line too. I hope to see a dialed in and focused team tonight. If I don’t I will be sorely disappointed.

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