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Another way to look at probabilities of the NCAA
Another way to look at probabilities of the NCAA
I just got this in an alumni email. It discusses probabilities of tournament outcomes based on seeds, combination of seeds, etc. It is based on historical data of where certain seeds have ended up in past tournaments and is not based on probabilities of individual games for actual teams.
http://engineering.illinois.edu/news/20 ... final-four
http://bracketodds.cs.illinois.edu/
I think using models based on something like the sagarin predictor (like rpiforecast.com) would be more accurate, but this site was interesting to mess around with. It would be interesting if someone used the sagarin predictor after the brackets were filled to see if the predicted seed combinations for each round roughly was similar to this.
http://engineering.illinois.edu/news/20 ... final-four
http://bracketodds.cs.illinois.edu/
I think using models based on something like the sagarin predictor (like rpiforecast.com) would be more accurate, but this site was interesting to mess around with. It would be interesting if someone used the sagarin predictor after the brackets were filled to see if the predicted seed combinations for each round roughly was similar to this.
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Re: Another way to look at probabilities of the NCAA
heck, I say bring on an 8 or 9 seed. I want to see the Ags shock the world and take down Kansas or Ohio St or Duke - whatever.
- UtahStizzle
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Re: Another way to look at probabilities of the NCAA
Another probability - supposedly most teams that make the final four have 2-3 future NBA players.
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- RockyMountainHigh
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Re: Another way to look at probabilities of the NCAA
Then you have to include 11 and 12 as well. I agree, the worst seeds are 8,9, 15, 16. Some 14s have won so it's not the endWAAggie wrote:5,6,7 or 10 is where we want to be!!!!!
of the world. I hope we're an 11 seed and that the Aggies are a 10 but I think they'll be a 8/9.