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MarioWest

If Merrill gets a legit shot, he WILL find rotation minutes. Yes, the Cavs just acquired Strus who will theoretically play in front of him, but Sam is too good to keep off the floor. He is a better version of Strus. If it wasn't for the ankle injury, he'd already be in someone's rotation. Neemi...h...

MarioWest

If Merrill gets a legit shot, he WILL find rotation minutes. Yes, the Cavs just acquired Strus who will theoretically play in front of him, but Sam is too good to keep off the floor. He is a better version of Strus. If it wasn't for the ankle injury, he'd already be in someone's rotation. Neemi...ha...

MarioWest

Hard to blame him. We didn't do our job to take care of our last coach. If we don't fix our issues with this soon, it'll be worse in the future I’ll push back a little on this. I don’t think Odom was really worthy of an extension in the January timeframe in which I’ve heard he had gripes. We undera...

MarioWest

Some G-League updates to distract from the chaos: Queta's season is over. Averaging 16.8 pts, 8.7 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 2.2 turnovers, 1.9 blocks and 0.9 steals, Neemi led Stockton to the best record in the G League, but they bowed out in the conference semifinals last night. He shot 68.3% from the...

MarioWest

So what I am most interested in are the real reasons he decided he needed to move that long ago...and apparently wasn't too concerned about where. Those reasons have been talked about plenty in this threads. To summarize: - A bit of a culture shock for a guy from the Southeast. His wife also didn't...

MarioWest

The coaching drama is only the beginning....... I've heard about some not so good transfer news coming down the pike. :shock: Imagine the worst case scenario and you may right. Wow. There was a post in one of the Odom threads that made me feel better about Ashworth staying no matter what but I gues...

MarioWest

He might be yanking us around but I see no evidence of it. This started to heat up on Thursday/Friday and has only gone on for a few days so far which would actually a very quick job search and decision process. If he has options coming that are jobs of interest, why wouldn't he wait? As for why he...

MarioWest

Ashworth is one of only three college basketball players this season to average at least 3 three pointers made and at least 4 assists per game. The other two are national media darlings Max Abmas and Jelly Walker who both averaged exactly 4 assists compared to Ashworth’s 4.5. They both shot under 40...

MarioWest

Yes, Zapala had perfect position for that rebound and stood flat footed while Arop just jumped over him and got the board. Big moment of the game. Zapala had one job and failed miserably at it. I blame Odom, not Zapala. Playing Zapala was too clever by half. Obviously, Odom was trying to protect Ak...

MarioWest

Credit to @SLB , although not a Lottery pick, he is going to have a chance. He’s such a Good playmaker, great passer, great shooter, and has a big frame for an NBA point guard. Can guard 1s and 2s. He’s young enough too. He will never sniff the NBA, but that doesn’t mean he is not good college play...

MarioWest

What's interesting is that the league is decidedly stronger this year, but no players listed anywhere that I've seen as potential draft prospects. No Sam, Queta, Flynn, McDaniel, Roddy etc. types. Probably a few that will get a training camp invite or some G League experience, but beyond that littl...

MarioWest

Hopefully the committee doesn’t pay too much attention to BPI, though the Aggies did jump from 60 to 49 after the Boise win. It has been an outlier metric all year but it looks a little better now. Have to admit the last sentence made me laugh. I tend to agree with him more than most, but I’m not su...

MarioWest

usu99 wrote: ↑
March 6th, 2023, 1:39 pm
interesting we have the lower % chance in the semis to advance of the top 4.

That’s because kenpom sees New Mexico as by far the toughest quarterfinal opponent.

I don’t know if his numbers factor in rest, but I’d rather play UNM on a back-to-back than a rested SJSU.

MarioWest

The NET ranking is not the RPI by a very, very long ways. The RPI could be gamed and was by the MVC in 2006 with 5 teams in the top 46. Think about that. Now, give me an example of a team with a NET ranking better than 30 not getting a bid and then we can talk. Once again, NET has been around for f...

MarioWest

They have been a blast to watch on offense all year but it’s been even better to see the Aggies step up on defense down the stretch. As many have said, that is the reason for this winning streak.

MarioWest

20 Maybe that’s pessimistic but kenpom only went up from 24 to 23 which surprised me. Kenpom movement is fairly predictive of NET movement. I think the Aggies jump TCU + Xavier but get passed by Kentucky. We were 26 and then jumped to 24, then another game result pushed us to 23. Thanks for pointin...

MarioWest

20

Maybe that’s pessimistic but kenpom only went up from 24 to 23 which surprised me. Kenpom movement is fairly predictive of NET movement. I think the Aggies jump TCU + Xavier but get passed by Kentucky.

MarioWest

Unfortunately, Cleveland/Detroit conflicts with the Boise game, but Sam is quite likely to play tonight.

The Pistons are tanking hard and missing several players so the Cavs should blow them out. NBA garbage time can be tough to watch but it’s a good opportunity for Sam to get minutes.

MarioWest

Aggie formerly in Hawaii wrote: ↑
March 3rd, 2023, 11:41 am
UVU, Bradley and Oral Roberts were all good surprises for how well they ended up doing.

Santa Clara and LMU were nice surprises too. On the other side of that spectrum, San Francisco had a disappointing season. They are a decent team, but that was supposed to be a marquee non-conference game.

MarioWest

I will die on the hill that it does not matter where SMU ends up. It's a bad loss that will hurt significantly whether their NET is 195 or 205. Assuming the Aggies end up as a bubble team, the committee will examine every single game on the profile. Let's say SMU ends up Q3. The committee is still g...

MarioWest

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑
March 2nd, 2023, 12:10 pm

QuackAttackAggie wrote: ↑
March 2nd, 2023, 11:46 am
how is the SOS 6 times higher for player A(shworth)?
Because there's a little bit of a plot twist here.

I won't spoil it, but that's an interesting comparison indeed. Really puts Ashworth's incredible season in perspective.

MarioWest

aggie4L wrote: ↑
March 2nd, 2023, 8:54 am
Not sure on Vegas spread, but Kenpom has us winning by 4.

The Vegas spread will be pretty close to that. The Aggies closed as 3 point favorites at home vs SDSU and 4.5 point favorites against UNR and UNM.

MarioWest

Great game and season from Ashworth. Consistently found ways to help the team even in the rare games where his shot wasn’t falling.

I said before the year I thought Ashworth could be “fringe all-conference.” I would like to formally apologize to Steven for including the word “fringe.”

MarioWest

Another interesting NET era profile is 2020-21 Drake, who made the first four. They had a much lower NET at 45. Their best win after a one point home victory against #10 Loyola Chicago was a road win at #97 Missouri State. They also had two bad losses like USU. They were competing against a differen...

MarioWest

In addition to the CSU/UNM wins at St Mary’s, Boise beat Texas A&M on a neutral court.

I think only UNLV won against a team who was ranked at the time—Dayton. They aren’t currently ranked of course.

MarioWest

This is just laughably wrong. Like I have said before, quads are just a quick and dirty way to get an overview of how well a team did against good competition. But anyone who thinks that a win against #30 Auburn is as valuable as a win against Alabama but a win against #31 Auburn is worth the same ...

MarioWest

Do you have a link for this? Because I'm pretty sure that the most recent iteration of NET is based on only two factors. One is basically win-loss record that is adjusted for opponent strength that gives bonuses for quality wins. The other is some composite Ken Pomeroy's offensive and defensive eff...

MarioWest

I just don’t understand the point of Net if you’re going to essentially ignore it Like yeah we are currently 0-4 vs q1, 3 of which were on the road, because the arbitrary cut off gives us with 2-3 wins right outside q1. But Net accounts for that…that’s what it’s for, imaginary and arbitrary cut off...

MarioWest

IMO the next two games are the key. It seems to me that this team is not built for the MWC tourney because we have so little depth. We always miss Rylan but the tourney will really accentuate that issue. Agreed. Plus, in a tournament setting, the depth issue is exacerbated by the offensive approach...

MarioWest

If BSU loses to both SDS and USU but wins the rest of its games AND the Aggies win out during the regular season both teams would finish with a conference record of 13-5. But USU would own the tie-breaker over the Broncos IF NM finishes in a tie with or ahead of SJS given that USU was 1-0 against t...

MarioWest

Eytle-Rock deserves a ton of credit. He has accepted a smaller role gracefully. I know the “slow starter” thing is a bit of a joke but he has once again gotten better as the year progressed. He is also quietly shooting 44% on 3s. Only 27 attempts but he is absolutely money when he’s open. Last night...

MarioWest

If BSU loses to both SDS and USU but wins the rest of its games AND the Aggies win out during the regular season both teams would finish with a conference record of 13-5. But USU would own the tie-breaker over the Broncos IF NM finishes in a tie with or ahead of SJS given that USU was 1-0 against t...

MarioWest

Air Force vs Wyoming It is in Wyoming, and Air Force is ranked #154. If Air Force wins this game, Air Force will become close to being a Q2 game for us. Folks keep bringing this up. But I don't think it matters how many Q2 wins we have. If we have zero Q1 wins, we're in trouble. I think even if we ...

MarioWest

Murray is great and certainly spot-on with this article but I’m not sure I’ll ever get over him ranking RJER as the 16th best player in the MW pre-season.

MarioWest

I lean towards maintaining status quo. We have a few years of sample size of Bairstow as primary ballhandler and returns weren’t great. Am I mis remembering? I don’t remember Bairstow playing point at all with Craig Smith. Last night though Bairstow had plenty of primary ball handling duties and he...

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