Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

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Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by ViAggie » September 14th, 2021, 12:39 pm

Looking to go 0-3! USU 12.4 - AFA 37.6

https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/utah-st ... 21-1391466

If that was the Vegas line I'd bet this month's paycheck on it.
Last edited by ViAggie on September 14th, 2021, 1:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by ineptimusprime » September 14th, 2021, 1:07 pm

ViAggie wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 12:39 pm
Looking to go 0-3! USU 12.4 - AFA 37.6

https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/utah-st ... 21-1391466

If that was the Vegas line I'd bet this month's paycheck on it.
Doesn’t look like they’ve realized this isn’t 2020 anymore.

They think we’re going to show worse than Lafayette. Lol.

We are getting zero cred for a team holding a P5 scalp and a decisive win over a very solid FCS team.

Has any D1 team that’s played a top 15 FCS school fared better than we did? I submit not really:

CSU got smashed by SDSU
JSU beat Florida St.
Montana St. very nearly beat Wyoming
Montana beat Washington
Eastern Washington beat UNLV

I guess Utah beat Weber by close to the same margin we beat ND.



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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by ViAggie » September 14th, 2021, 1:46 pm

Odd that link doesn't work anymore, here's the new one: https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/utah-st ... 21-1391466

Still showing the same prediction


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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by aggies22 » September 14th, 2021, 2:15 pm

ViAggie wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 1:46 pm
Odd that link doesn't work anymore, here's the new one: https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/utah-st ... 21-1391466

Still showing the same prediction
I hope that's the dumbest $hit I come across today because that is a pretty stupid prediction.
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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by MWCFAN12 » September 14th, 2021, 2:37 pm

Image


Massey has a different story. And 51 total points puts you right at at o/u of 50.5



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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by ViAggie » September 14th, 2021, 3:04 pm

MWCFAN12 wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 2:37 pm
Image


Massey has a different story. And 51 total points puts you right at at o/u of 50.5
He's got us winning 6 more games, I'd take that after last year, but with this team I think that's under performing, could be wrong though.


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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by AGGIEinIOWA » September 14th, 2021, 3:11 pm

MWCFAN12 wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 2:37 pm
Image


Massey has a different story. And 51 total points puts you right at at o/u of 50.5
Surprised that our odds of winning at AF (44%) are worse than beating Boise at home (47%). Maybe it's just me but I see our chances of beating AF to be significantly better than beating Boise, even though Boise isn't a long shot by any means. I'd put AF at 50-55%, and Boise at 35-40% based on the first 2 weeks.



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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by Full » September 14th, 2021, 3:15 pm

I think SI is predicting the future?

https://www.si.com/gambling/2021/09/13/ ... -9-18-2021



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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by MWCFAN12 » September 14th, 2021, 3:18 pm

AGGIEinIOWA wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 3:11 pm
MWCFAN12 wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 2:37 pm
Image


Massey has a different story. And 51 total points puts you right at at o/u of 50.5
Surprised that our odds of winning at AF (44%) are worse than beating Boise at home (47%). Maybe it's just me but I see our chances of beating AF to be significantly better than beating Boise, even though Boise isn't a long shot by any means. I'd put AF at 50-55%, and Boise at 35-40% based on the first 2 weeks.

Massey leans heavy on home/road games. I think too heavy. Just look at the Wyoming game and new Mexico the next week. They have virtually the exact same odds and out come. But 2 very different teams. It has been a bit since I read his formula but my guess is if we played AFA at home we would be about 55% and expect score of 30 - 27 for USU.



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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by aggies22 » September 14th, 2021, 3:24 pm

Full wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 3:15 pm
I think SI is predicting the future?

https://www.si.com/gambling/2021/09/13/ ... -9-18-2021
It says we are 3-0 against the spread. I think YES!!
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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by ViAggie » September 14th, 2021, 3:53 pm

aggies22 wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 3:24 pm
Full wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 3:15 pm
I think SI is predicting the future?

https://www.si.com/gambling/2021/09/13/ ... -9-18-2021
It says we are 3-0 against the spread. I think YES!!
That would be a prediction, I like it.
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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by travelingagg » September 16th, 2021, 12:41 pm

It's strange. Our matchup predictor shows us winning or that we're basically an even match. Curious to know if Oddsshark, Vegas, or ESPN's matchup predictor is most predictive of outcomes:

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Re: Oddsshark - USU vs AFA Prediction (they are 0-2 w/us btw)

Post by splintorb » September 16th, 2021, 1:08 pm

Full wrote:
September 14th, 2021, 3:15 pm
I think SI is predicting the future?

https://www.si.com/gambling/2021/09/13/ ... -9-18-2021
This is such a weird article, all the stats they provide on players is from one game, but the article was created on the 13th...



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