Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible - right?

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

Doesn't seem all that likely, but never say never...

A lot and I mean a LOT of moving parts to make this happen, there would have to be a bunch of upsets this weekend. Is it possible?

It's about time this gif made an appearance in this thread:

No

I made a thread about this already with a rooting guide for you.

ineptimusprime wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 11:02 am

I made a thread about this already with a rooting guide for you.

Link your thread please, too lazy to look actually not joking, it's true.

No, we don't. The odds of everything aligning for this to happen are virtually 0. Literally.

thegreendalegelf wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:02 am

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

A 2 loss AAC champ with a win over Cincinnati would get in over USU (this basically eliminates USU. If someone other than Cincinnati wins that conference they'll only have 2 losses at most).

UTSA is undefeated and would get in over USU as conference champ, likely even with 1 loss.

A 1 loss Sun Belt champ Louisiana would get in over USU.

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 11:44 am

thegreendalegelf wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:02 am

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

A 2 loss AAC champ with a win over Cincinnati would get in over USU (this basically eliminates USU. If someone other than Cincinnati wins that conference they'll only have 2 losses at most).

UTSA is undefeated and would get in over USU as conference champ, likely even with 1 loss.

A 1 loss Sun Belt champ Louisiana would get in over USU.

I wouldn't mind seeing us in a bowl game vs an undefeated UTSA, we would do to them what we did to that undefeated Northern Illinois team back in 2013. But hopefully we'll get a P5 opponent or a decent AAC team, either would be good.

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 11:44 am

thegreendalegelf wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:02 am

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

A 2 loss AAC champ with a win over Cincinnati would get in over USU (this basically eliminates USU. If someone other than Cincinnati wins that conference they'll only have 2 losses at most).

UTSA is undefeated and would get in over USU as conference champ, likely even with 1 loss.

A 1 loss Sun Belt champ Louisiana would get in over USU.

I totally forgot about UTSA. I don't think they get in over us with 1 loss. The Committee is barely giving them any respect. They had a 2 loss Fresno State above them in the initial rankings. I think if we win out and they have 1 loss, we are over them. If they win out, they are in.

Until Louisiana gets respect from the committee by being ranked, I am not sure if they will get in over us.

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 11:44 am

thegreendalegelf wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:02 am

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

A 2 loss AAC champ with a win over Cincinnati would get in over USU (this basically eliminates USU. If someone other than Cincinnati wins that conference they'll only have 2 losses at most).

UTSA is undefeated and would get in over USU as conference champ, likely even with 1 loss.

A 1 loss Sun Belt champ Louisiana would get in over USU.

Excellent summary. Basically, the winner of the American Athletic Conference Championship game between Cincinnati and Houston will get the G5 bid.

Elkaggie wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:55 am

No

Nailed it

FeartheFro wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 12:11 pm

While I understand it is not going to happen, how amazing is it that we can even speculate the possibility of it happening after last year?


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This time last year were were in utter despair as fans. Look at us today! Who could have thunk it?

ViAggie wrote:

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 11:44 am

thegreendalegelf wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 10:02 am

Mr. Sneelock wrote: ↑

November 19th, 2021, 9:58 am

Maybe you all already know this, but it just occurred to me today.

My understanding is that the highest ranked G5 conference champion gets an automatic invite to a NY6 bowl. What I don't know is how that works if a G5 conference champion makes the actual 4 team CFP. If Cincinnati wins out and makes the CFP, does that count as the G5 auto-bid, or is the G5 auto-bid apart from the CFP?

If Cincinnati does not take the G5 auto-bid to the NY6, then we have an outside shot.

We are currently getting votes in both polls, though not yet ranked in the CFP poll. If we beat Wyoming and NM, we will be in the conference title game, probably against SDSU. There is also a pretty good chance that we will crack the top 25 of the CFP rankings. If we then beat SDSU, we would probably be the highest ranked G5 conference champion.

If Cincinnati can crack the top 4 and reach the CFP while winning their conference, then Houston would not be a conference champion and would be ineligible.

So if Cincinnati makes the playoff, there is no G5 NY6 spot. There would just be an extra at-large spot. Somebody pointed out the legal wording a while ago and I am not going to dig for it but that's the rule.

Our best shot at getting the G5 NY6 spot is:
1) Win out including the Championship Game (obviously)
2) SDSU wins up until the Championship Game
3) Houston loses one before the Conference Championship
4) Houston beats Cincinnati in the AAC championship game.

If all that happens, we are maybe in. I think #3 is the sticky point. They have a 5-5 Memphis team and UCONN left on their schedule before the conference championship game. So this week vs Memphis is really the only risk.

A 2 loss AAC champ with a win over Cincinnati would get in over USU (this basically eliminates USU. If someone other than Cincinnati wins that conference they'll only have 2 losses at most).

UTSA is undefeated and would get in over USU as conference champ, likely even with 1 loss.

A 1 loss Sun Belt champ Louisiana would get in over USU.

I wouldn't mind seeing us in a bowl game vs an undefeated UTSA, we would do to them what we did to that undefeated Northern Illinois team back in 2013. But hopefully we'll get a P5 opponent or a decent AAC team, either would be good.

They were 12-1 but I do think we would beat utsa


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