Bubble watch

This forum is for Basketball discussion only. Other topics will be moved to the appropriate forum.
Yossarian
Posts: 10679
Joined: November 14th, 2010, 11:56 pm
Has thanked: 354 times
Been thanked: 3167 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Yossarian » February 25th, 2023, 2:24 pm

SpectrumMagic wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:23 pm
Yossarian wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:23 pm
ASU may have just killed USUs shot at an at-large bid with a 50-foot shot at the buzzer against UofA. Unbelievable shot, nothing but net.
Shot was by Cambridge former Nevada Wolfpack player.
Yep.


Eutaw St. Aggie

UStateTim
Posts: 545
Joined: November 26th, 2013, 7:35 pm
Has thanked: 31 times
Been thanked: 327 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by UStateTim » February 25th, 2023, 2:31 pm

Yossarian wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:23 pm
ASU may have just killed USUs shot at an at-large bid with a 50-foot shot at the buzzer against UofA. Unbelievable shot, nothing but net.
I thought the same thing watching it



Gidbob
Posts: 330
Joined: September 11th, 2022, 10:03 am
Has thanked: 773 times
Been thanked: 141 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Gidbob » February 25th, 2023, 2:44 pm

Yossarian wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:23 pm
ASU may have just killed USUs shot at an at-large bid with a 50-foot shot at the buzzer against UofA. Unbelievable shot, nothing but net.
There's a big part of me that kind of hates the fact that I'm supposed to be mad about that shot. I love me a good buzzer beater, and seeing that in a game I'm neuteral about is usually great, but with this at large stuff I'm obligated not to like it.



User avatar
Section_L_Aggie
Posts: 412
Joined: November 10th, 2012, 7:05 pm
Has thanked: 1147 times
Been thanked: 302 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Section_L_Aggie » February 25th, 2023, 2:58 pm

Meh. Their NET is in the mid 60s and they’re in a western conference. If they beat both USC and UCLA next weekend then that might get them in. I was pissed to see it go in because I can’t stand the scum devils (having lived in Tucson for several years).

Y’all are so negative and sky is falling sometimes.

Aggies take care of business and we’ll be fine.
These users thanked the author Section_L_Aggie for the post:
flying_scotsman2.0


:utah: :state: :scotsman:

User avatar
ThunderAggie
Posts: 1817
Joined: November 20th, 2017, 7:52 pm
Location: Logan
Has thanked: 434 times
Been thanked: 780 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by ThunderAggie » February 25th, 2023, 2:59 pm

Section_L_Aggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:58 pm
Meh. Their NET is in the mid 60s and they’re in a western conference. If they beat both USC and UCLA next weekend then that might get them in. I was pissed to see it go in because I can’t stand the scum devils (having lived in Tucson for several years).

Y’all are so negative and sky is falling sometimes.

Aggies take care of business and we’ll be fine.
They just beat a top 5 team on the road. They will probably get in if they avoid any bad losses. That win trumps any of ours.



User avatar
MrBiggle
Posts: 3145
Joined: October 10th, 2013, 12:15 pm
Has thanked: 2865 times
Been thanked: 533 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by MrBiggle » February 25th, 2023, 3:03 pm

Yossarian wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:23 pm
ASU may have just killed USUs shot at an at-large bid with a 50-foot shot at the buzzer against UofA. Unbelievable shot, nothing but net.
Meh, they would have to go on a deep run in the PAC tournament in order to get their net high enough.
I think as soon as UNR bumps up to 30 next week we will have our Q1 win and be just fine, then when we beat Boise we will have smooth sailing the rest of the way.
Last edited by MrBiggle on February 25th, 2023, 3:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
These users thanked the author MrBiggle for the post:
Section_L_Aggie


Where only sage brush grows

User avatar
Section_L_Aggie
Posts: 412
Joined: November 10th, 2012, 7:05 pm
Has thanked: 1147 times
Been thanked: 302 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Section_L_Aggie » February 25th, 2023, 3:04 pm

U of A has been a little overrated all year. Top 15 more realistically.

I’m more concerned about UNC beating UVA later. Especially since the east coast bias will come in strong for them.


:utah: :state: :scotsman:

Bank Shot
Posts: 1942
Joined: January 26th, 2019, 6:27 pm
Has thanked: 499 times
Been thanked: 927 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Bank Shot » February 25th, 2023, 3:09 pm

That Washington kid that transferred from Nevada had a good game also. There must have been some serious locker room issues in Nevada last year, because Washington, Cambridge and Sherfield are all P6 talents. Got to hand it to Alford for how he has retooled that squad. I would add that if having an a$$hat for a coach is a plus, then Arizona St is a lock.



jprism
Posts: 119
Joined: January 25th, 2023, 9:37 pm
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 74 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by jprism » February 25th, 2023, 4:08 pm

Florida state with the upset at Miami. Miami is currently 28 NET, home loss vs 223 NET. Is it enough to bump Nevada 31 NET to 30 for us?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk



Aggie84025
Posts: 9548
Joined: September 12th, 2018, 2:01 pm
Has thanked: 3065 times
Been thanked: 4427 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Aggie84025 » February 25th, 2023, 4:10 pm

jprism wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:08 pm
Florida state with the upset at Miami. Miami is currently 28 NET, home loss vs 223 NET. Is it enough to bump Nevada 31 NET to 30 for us?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yes it will be. Miami will drop probably 10 spots. They were favored by 13.5 points. It was a really bad loss. Auburn is going to lose by 30 at Kentucky so Nevada should move to 30 or higher.



Bank Shot
Posts: 1942
Joined: January 26th, 2019, 6:27 pm
Has thanked: 499 times
Been thanked: 927 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Bank Shot » February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm

Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.



dogie
Posts: 3872
Joined: November 4th, 2010, 7:56 pm
Has thanked: 59 times
Been thanked: 714 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by dogie » February 25th, 2023, 5:11 pm

Aggie84025 wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:10 pm
jprism wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:08 pm
Florida state with the upset at Miami. Miami is currently 28 NET, home loss vs 223 NET. Is it enough to bump Nevada 31 NET to 30 for us?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yes it will be. Miami will drop probably 10 spots. They were favored by 13.5 points. It was a really bad loss. Auburn is going to lose by 30 at Kentucky so Nevada should move to 30 or higher.
It’s a Q4 loss for Miami after they squandered a 25-point lead. USU will also move up a spot, or at least pass Miami.

Losses by Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and West Virginia today were also somewhat helpful. They all lost to ranked teams, but almost all other teams in the Big 12 are ranked.

As has been mentioned here, USC losing to lowly Utah would give the Aggies another boost.



AngusAg
Posts: 1102
Joined: November 27th, 2010, 11:38 am
Has thanked: 730 times
Been thanked: 199 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by AngusAg » February 25th, 2023, 5:26 pm

Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm
Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.
I see it differently. USC could do the world a favor and beat Utah. Can't bring myself to cheer for them under any circumstances.



Agezzz
Posts: 537
Joined: September 14th, 2014, 3:23 pm
Has thanked: 267 times
Been thanked: 244 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Agezzz » February 25th, 2023, 5:36 pm

AngusAg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:26 pm
Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm
Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.
I see it differently. USC could do the world a favor and beat Utah. Can't bring myself to cheer for them under any circumstances.
Yep!! We don't ever need help from them!!



Bank Shot
Posts: 1942
Joined: January 26th, 2019, 6:27 pm
Has thanked: 499 times
Been thanked: 927 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Bank Shot » February 25th, 2023, 5:38 pm

AngusAg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:26 pm
Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm
Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.
I see it differently. USC could do the world a favor and beat Utah. Can't bring myself to cheer for them under any circumstances.
Including giving a team that is currently by most bracket people a better bubble position than we are a Q1 win? Sometimes your enemy can be your friend. I'm in the anything that helps us crowd.



User avatar
ThunderAggie
Posts: 1817
Joined: November 20th, 2017, 7:52 pm
Location: Logan
Has thanked: 434 times
Been thanked: 780 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by ThunderAggie » February 25th, 2023, 6:04 pm

CRAP! Unc beats #6 Virginia. UNC was in the first four out



AngusAg
Posts: 1102
Joined: November 27th, 2010, 11:38 am
Has thanked: 730 times
Been thanked: 199 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by AngusAg » February 25th, 2023, 6:08 pm

Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:38 pm
AngusAg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:26 pm
Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm
Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.
I see it differently. USC could do the world a favor and beat Utah. Can't bring myself to cheer for them under any circumstances.
Including giving a team that is currently by most bracket people a better bubble position than we are a Q1 win? Sometimes your enemy can be your friend. I'm in the anything that helps us crowd.
I get your pragmatism, but I just can't bring myself to cheer for them... ever. Nothing against you whatsoever.



Bank Shot
Posts: 1942
Joined: January 26th, 2019, 6:27 pm
Has thanked: 499 times
Been thanked: 927 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Bank Shot » February 25th, 2023, 6:14 pm

AngusAg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 6:08 pm
Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:38 pm
AngusAg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 5:26 pm
Bank Shot wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 4:44 pm
Craig Smith could do us a favor tonight by beating USC. Trojans are favored by 2.
I see it differently. USC could do the world a favor and beat Utah. Can't bring myself to cheer for them under any circumstances.
Including giving a team that is currently by most bracket people a better bubble position than we are a Q1 win? Sometimes your enemy can be your friend. I'm in the anything that helps us crowd.
I get your pragmatism, but I just can't bring myself to cheer for them... ever. Nothing against you whatsoever.
Nothing taken :cheers:



dogie
Posts: 3872
Joined: November 4th, 2010, 7:56 pm
Has thanked: 59 times
Been thanked: 714 times

For whom to root guide

Post by dogie » February 25th, 2023, 6:23 pm

[Note to moderators] Since this thread might persist for two more weeks, I have fixed the subject line.



BasketballAgg
Posts: 516
Joined: November 29th, 2019, 11:29 pm
Has thanked: 55 times
Been thanked: 304 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by BasketballAgg » February 25th, 2023, 6:46 pm

Section_L_Aggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 3:04 pm
U of A has been a little overrated all year. Top 15 more realistically.

I’m more concerned about UNC beating UVA later. Especially since the east coast bias will come in strong for them.
You jinxed it.



FL350Aggie
Posts: 924
Joined: January 19th, 2020, 4:57 pm
Has thanked: 198 times
Been thanked: 560 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by FL350Aggie » February 25th, 2023, 6:54 pm

Donks are going to take the L.



Aggiesbleedblue
Posts: 680
Joined: March 4th, 2012, 10:32 pm
Has thanked: 109 times
Been thanked: 396 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Aggiesbleedblue » February 25th, 2023, 7:03 pm

Catch 22 for us on Tuesday: Boise wins @ home against the Aztecs, and they hold the tiebreaker over us, but would give us that coveted Q1 opportunity at home Saturday. They lose Tuesday and we control our destiny for the 3 seed, but likely still without a Q1 win. LOL



User avatar
Section_L_Aggie
Posts: 412
Joined: November 10th, 2012, 7:05 pm
Has thanked: 1147 times
Been thanked: 302 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Section_L_Aggie » February 25th, 2023, 7:17 pm

FootballAgg wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 6:46 pm
Section_L_Aggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 3:04 pm
U of A has been a little overrated all year. Top 15 more realistically.

I’m more concerned about UNC beating UVA later. Especially since the east coast bias will come in strong for them.
You jinxed it.
Ha ha maybe. I don’t think any amount of luck would’ve saved UVA today unfortunately.


:utah: :state: :scotsman:

SpectrumMagic
Posts: 1331
Joined: November 8th, 2010, 7:57 pm
Has thanked: 236 times
Been thanked: 425 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by SpectrumMagic » February 25th, 2023, 7:18 pm

SMU had big lead vs USF but end up losing the game. They may drop back to Q4



User avatar
Section_L_Aggie
Posts: 412
Joined: November 10th, 2012, 7:05 pm
Has thanked: 1147 times
Been thanked: 302 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by Section_L_Aggie » February 25th, 2023, 7:23 pm

Still can’t believe we lost to SMU. They’re such a bad team.


:utah: :state: :scotsman:

User avatar
QuackAttackAggie
Pick'em Champ - '12, '22 Bowl; '15, '17 Weekly; '18 BB Predict the Score; '22 Kickoff
Posts: 18262
Joined: November 3rd, 2010, 12:08 pm
Location: Sonora, MX
Has thanked: 316 times
Been thanked: 2987 times

Dogie’s style guide guide

Post by QuackAttackAggie » February 25th, 2023, 7:32 pm

dogie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 6:23 pm
[Note to moderators] Since this thread might persist for two more weeks, I have fixed the subject line.
Thanks, fixed it



dogie
Posts: 3872
Joined: November 4th, 2010, 7:56 pm
Has thanked: 59 times
Been thanked: 714 times

Re: Dogie’s style guide guide

Post by dogie » February 25th, 2023, 7:40 pm

QuackAttackAggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 7:32 pm
dogie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 6:23 pm
[Note to moderators] Since this thread might persist for two more weeks, I have fixed the subject line.
Thanks, fixed it
:thanks:



User avatar
flying_scotsman2.0
Posts: 3546
Joined: January 23rd, 2018, 12:29 pm
Location: The Mighty City-State of Roy, Utah
Has thanked: 5948 times
Been thanked: 2247 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by flying_scotsman2.0 » February 25th, 2023, 9:42 pm

ThunderAggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:59 pm
Section_L_Aggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:58 pm
Meh. Their NET is in the mid 60s and they’re in a western conference. If they beat both USC and UCLA next weekend then that might get them in. I was pissed to see it go in because I can’t stand the scum devils (having lived in Tucson for several years).

Y’all are so negative and sky is falling sometimes.

Aggies take care of business and we’ll be fine.
They just beat a top 5 team on the road. They will probably get in if they avoid any bad losses. That win trumps any of ours.
They also lost to Texas Southern, which blows our Weber State loss out of the water. 🤷 the final number says we’re the better team, regardless of one really big win.



dogie
Posts: 3872
Joined: November 4th, 2010, 7:56 pm
Has thanked: 59 times
Been thanked: 714 times

Re: Who to root for guide

Post by dogie » February 25th, 2023, 10:07 pm

flying_scotsman2.0 wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 9:42 pm
ThunderAggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:59 pm
Section_L_Aggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 2:58 pm
Meh. Their NET is in the mid 60s and they’re in a western conference. If they beat both USC and UCLA next weekend then that might get them in. I was pissed to see it go in because I can’t stand the scum devils (having lived in Tucson for several years).

Y’all are so negative and sky is falling sometimes.

Aggies take care of business and we’ll be fine.
They just beat a top 5 team on the road. They will probably get in if they avoid any bad losses. That win trumps any of ours.
They also lost to Texas Southern, which blows our Weber State loss out of the water. 🤷 the final number says we’re the better team, regardless of one really big win.
I had forgotten that Arizona State was part of the debacle of the PAC 12/SWAC debacle.



User avatar
QuackAttackAggie
Pick'em Champ - '12, '22 Bowl; '15, '17 Weekly; '18 BB Predict the Score; '22 Kickoff
Posts: 18262
Joined: November 3rd, 2010, 12:08 pm
Location: Sonora, MX
Has thanked: 316 times
Been thanked: 2987 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by QuackAttackAggie » February 25th, 2023, 10:12 pm

SDSU just choked away a lead with 6 seconds left, took a terrible 3 at the buzzer instead of going to the rim, and hit it to win anyway.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk



Aggie84025
Posts: 9548
Joined: September 12th, 2018, 2:01 pm
Has thanked: 3065 times
Been thanked: 4427 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by Aggie84025 » February 25th, 2023, 10:23 pm

QuackAttackAggie wrote:
February 25th, 2023, 10:12 pm
SDSU just choked away a lead with 6 seconds left, took a terrible 3 at the buzzer instead of going to the rim, and hit it to win anyway.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Don't ever a foul a 3 point shooter and if you have the possession arrow don't rush the pass. Great shot but poor execution the rest of the last 30 seconds.



dogie
Posts: 3872
Joined: November 4th, 2010, 7:56 pm
Has thanked: 59 times
Been thanked: 714 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by dogie » February 26th, 2023, 3:42 pm

It looks like Sunday’s results are generally favorable for the Aggies.

Illinois is 31 in the NET and USU is 32. Illinois was favored by 4 at Ohio State and lost by 12. The Aggies will almost certainly move ahead of Illinois tomorrow.

Wisconsin lost to Michigan. Wisconsin is right in the bubble but a couple of spots ahead of the Aggies in many brackets.

Bradley is beating up on Drake and could cover the spread by ten points.

A Rutgers win over Penn State (another bubble team) would also help.

Indiana State (94) was favored at home by 8 over Missouri State (155) but lost by four. This is relevant because Loyola Marymount is 101, and could move up to 100 tomorrow to become a Q2 win again.
These users thanked the author dogie for the post:
utaggies



Rabidchild
Posts: 2721
Joined: November 3rd, 2010, 10:22 am
Has thanked: 28 times
Been thanked: 137 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by Rabidchild » February 26th, 2023, 3:49 pm

If a team is a "Quad 1 team" of the highest order (i.e. top 30 NET), then shouldn't it receive a bid automatically based on that objective ranking metric? If beating Team X is a measure of Team Y's worthiness for the tournament, it seems Team X should be in already.


I'm a reasonable man, get off my case.

User avatar
Zaggie07
Posts: 1183
Joined: November 3rd, 2010, 12:28 pm
Has thanked: 1222 times
Been thanked: 290 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by Zaggie07 » February 26th, 2023, 4:26 pm

Rabidchild wrote:
February 26th, 2023, 3:49 pm
If a team is a "Quad 1 team" of the highest order (i.e. top 30 NET), then shouldn't it receive a bid automatically based on that objective ranking metric? If beating Team X is a measure of Team Y's worthiness for the tournament, it seems Team X should be in already.
That's unofficially what has happened in the NET era. I suppose a top 30 team could be left out, but it hasn't happened yet. The ten highest NET-ranked teams to miss the tournament were … 2019 NC State (NET: 33); 2019 Clemson (35); 2019 Texas (38); 2022 Oklahoma (39); 2022 Xavier (40); 2019 Furman (41); 2021 Penn State (42); 2021 Saint Louis (43); 2021 Texas A&M (43); and 2021 SMU (45). There were changes to NET after 2019, so our NET looks pretty good for an at-large right now. Even top 35 or top 40 are promising based on history.

https://bracketologists.com/visualizati ... om-scatter
Image



Blitz79
Posts: 2325
Joined: January 16th, 2011, 8:11 am
Has thanked: 7 times
Been thanked: 424 times

Re: From whence to cheer hither to guide

Post by Blitz79 » February 26th, 2023, 5:07 pm

Northwestern and Illinois both lost. Rutgers seem to be on their way to an L. All direct competition if you believe the NET.
These users thanked the author Blitz79 for the post:
MrBiggle



Locked Previous topicNext topic