Net guess

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WAAggie
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Net guess

Post by WAAggie » March 4th, 2023, 10:30 pm

Arkansas, TCU and Kansas St all lost their games to lower teams.

Maybe 19?


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Re: Net guess

Post by aggies22 » March 4th, 2023, 10:31 pm

I guessed 19. We are in.


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Re: Net guess

Post by MrBiggle » March 4th, 2023, 10:37 pm

18
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Re: Net guess

Post by SLB » March 4th, 2023, 10:38 pm

Best Kenpom since 2010-2011 season where we were AP #19
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Re: Net guess

Post by SpectrumMagic » March 4th, 2023, 10:39 pm

Wish LMU could have beaten BYU would have all but assured that as a Q2 game. Santa Clara needs to win big and somehow beat Gonzaga to try to get to 75. I don’t think UNLV can get to 75. Don’t see SMU getting under 200.

I’m guessing 18


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Re: Net guess

Post by MarioWest » March 4th, 2023, 10:51 pm

20

Maybe that’s pessimistic but kenpom only went up from 24 to 23 which surprised me. Kenpom movement is fairly predictive of NET movement. I think the Aggies jump TCU + Xavier but get passed by Kentucky.


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Re: Net guess

Post by Roy McAvoy » March 4th, 2023, 10:55 pm

MarioWest wrote: ↑
March 4th, 2023, 10:51 pm
 20

Maybe that’s pessimistic but kenpom only went up from 24 to 23 which surprised me. Kenpom movement is fairly predictive of NET movement. I think the Aggies jump TCU + Xavier but get passed by Kentucky.
We were 26 and then jumped to 24, then another game result pushed us to 23.


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Re: Net guess

Post by SLB » March 4th, 2023, 10:56 pm

17 is my guess


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Re: Net guess

Post by MarioWest » March 4th, 2023, 10:58 pm

Roy McAvoy wrote: ↑
March 4th, 2023, 10:55 pm
MarioWest wrote: ↑
March 4th, 2023, 10:51 pm
 20

Maybe that’s pessimistic but kenpom only went up from 24 to 23 which surprised me. Kenpom movement is fairly predictive of NET movement. I think the Aggies jump TCU + Xavier but get passed by Kentucky.
We were 26 and then jumped to 24, then another game result pushed us to 23.
Thanks for pointing that out. Kenpom updates so fast that the last number I saw was 24. I was still expecting a slightly bigger jump.


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Re: Net guess

Post by scotlandog » March 5th, 2023, 12:39 am

I don’t feel it matters much where we are at this point, we are really solid in the NET either way. I hope Boise doesn’t fall too far. Hopefully with others falling around them as well they stay top 30 for us.


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Re: Net guess

Post by dogie » March 5th, 2023, 5:44 am

USU is still at 21 and BSU is still at 27. That’s just fine with me.
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Net guess

Post by AGGIEinIOWA » March 5th, 2023, 7:43 am

dogie wrote:USU is still at 21 and BSU is still at 27. That’s just fine with me.
Keeps it as a Q1 win, which is good. New Mexico is sitting right at a Net of 50. Would that be a Q1 game at a neutral site?

Looks like someone answered that in a different thread. Yes it would be Q1.


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Re: Net guess

Post by jpswensen » March 5th, 2023, 7:46 am

dogie wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 5:44 am
 USU is still at 21 and BSU is still at 27. That’s just fine with me.
I get BSU not dropping for road q1 loss, but we finally get a q1 win, we beat the spread by a lot, and we get zero benefit from it?!?! It just seems bizarre.


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Re: Net guess

Post by QuackAttackAggie » March 5th, 2023, 7:51 am

jpswensen wrote:
dogie wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 5:44 am
 USU is still at 21 and BSU is still at 27. That’s just fine with me.
I get BSU not dropping for road q1 loss, but we finally get a q1 win, we beat the spread by a lot, and we get zero benefit from it?!?! It just seems bizarre.
Could mean there was a lot of distance between us and 20 and we closed the gap but not enough. Teams ahead of us didn't lose.


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Re: Net guess

Post by WAAggie » March 5th, 2023, 7:57 am

Iowa st and Kentucky jumps us.


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Re: Net guess

Post by MrBiggle » March 5th, 2023, 8:05 am

WAAggie wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 7:57 am
 Iowa st and Kentucky jumps us.


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They both got good road wins. Iowa st destroyed Baylor but somehow Baylor didn’t drop much? The actual point values in the top 20 must have a lot of space.


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Re: Net guess

Post by ineptimusprime » March 5th, 2023, 8:08 am

MrBiggle wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 8:05 am
WAAggie wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 7:57 am
 Iowa st and Kentucky jumps us.


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They both got good road wins. Iowa st destroyed Baylor but somehow Baylor didn’t drop much? The actual point values in the top 20 must have a lot of space.
Yeah, there were a ton of weird results in the Big 12 yesterday because a lot of the teams really had nothing to play for, and, unsurprisingly, their more motivated opponents won.


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Re: Net guess

Post by AGinNEIowa » March 5th, 2023, 9:14 am

MrBiggle wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 8:05 am
WAAggie wrote: ↑
March 5th, 2023, 7:57 am
 Iowa st and Kentucky jumps us.


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They both got good road wins. Iowa st destroyed Baylor but somehow Baylor didn’t drop much? The actual point values in the top 20 must have a lot of space.
Xavier dropped 3 from 19-22 despite a 12 point (13 spread) win over Butler.


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Re: Net guess

Post by AggieSox » March 5th, 2023, 1:53 pm

We got really spoiled after UNLV win jumping that much in net & kenpom. Can’t expect that each win.


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