Aggies now have no Q2 losses

dogie · Post by **dogie** » March 14th, 2024, 9:05 am

Before yesterday’s games, the Aggies had one Q2 loss and were 5-4 in Q1 games.

UNLV dropped from 75 to 78 this morning, which changed that Q1 win to Q2. But Nevada moved from 31 to 30. That makes the home Nevada loss a Q1 game. As a result, USU now is 4-5 in Q1 games and has no Q2 losses.

I think Q1 at 4-5 with no Q2 losses is better than 5-4 in Q1 with one Q2 loss. I haven’t looked, but I’m sure that no more than ten teams have only Q1 losses.

If the Aggies beat Fresno State today, UNLV tomorrow and then win on Saturday, they will finish with a 7-5 Q1 record and no Q2 losses. That’s a 4-seed or even 3-seed resume.

Edit - there are only five teams with no losses in Q2, Q3 or Q4. Those are Houston, Purdue, UConn (top 3 NET teams), Auburn (6) and USU (31). But Auburn is only 1-7 in Q1.

ViAggie · Post by **ViAggie** » March 14th, 2024, 9:09 am

dogie wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:05 am
Before yesterday’s games, the Aggies had one Q2 loss and were 5-4 in Q1 games.

UNLV dropped from 75 to 78 this morning, which changed that Q1 win to Q2. But Nevada moved from 31 to 30. That makes the home Nevada loss a Q1 game. As a result, USU now is 4-5 in Q1 games and has no Q2 losses.

I think Q1 at 4-5 with no Q2 losses is better than 5-4 in Q1 with one Q2 loss. I haven’t looked, but I’m sure that no more than ten teams have only Q1 losses.

If the Aggies beat Fresno State today, UNLV tomorrow and then win on Saturday, they will finish with a 7-5 Q1 record and no Q2 losses. That’s a 4-seed or even 3-seed resume.

That's the spirit!

Usu0505 · Post by **Usu0505** » March 14th, 2024, 9:59 am

The possibility of a Q4 loss today. Overlook no one!!!!!!

Real Life Aggie · Post by **Real Life Aggie** » March 14th, 2024, 10:03 am

dogie wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:05 am
Before yesterday’s games, the Aggies had one Q2 loss and were 5-4 in Q1 games.

UNLV dropped from 75 to 78 this morning, which changed that Q1 win to Q2. But Nevada moved from 31 to 30. That makes the home Nevada loss a Q1 game. As a result, USU now is 4-5 in Q1 games and has no Q2 losses.

I think Q1 at 4-5 with no Q2 losses is better than 5-4 in Q1 with one Q2 loss. I haven’t looked, but I’m sure that no more than ten teams have only Q1 losses.

If the Aggies beat Fresno State today, UNLV tomorrow and then win on Saturday, they will finish with a 7-5 Q1 record and no Q2 losses. That’s a 4-seed or even 3-seed resume.

Edit - there are only five teams with no losses in Q2, Q3 or Q4. Those are Houston, Purdue, UConn (top 3 NET teams), Auburn (6) and USU (31). But Auburn is only 1-7 in Q1.

The no chance we'd be a 3 seed, and no realistic chance we are a 4 seed. Perform well and we should be a 5 seed.

NVAggie · Post by **NVAggie** » March 14th, 2024, 10:08 am

I think we are pretty much locked into the 6-7 position. Lose today and maybe we bump down to an 8.

tysteve20 · Post by **tysteve20** » March 14th, 2024, 10:22 am

Heres how I'm looking at it.
Lose today: 8
Lose tomorrow: 7
Lose in the championship: 6
Win the championship: 6 with small chance at 5 depending on other conference results

ChowderAggie · Post by **ChowderAggie** » March 14th, 2024, 11:12 am

tysteve20 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 10:22 am
Heres how I'm looking at it.
Lose today: 8
Lose tomorrow: 7
Lose in the championship: 6
Win the championship: 6 with small chance at 5 depending on other conference results

Nevada and SDSU are listed as 5 seeds. If we win the MW, I think we are a 5.

SweepDance · Post by **SweepDance** » March 14th, 2024, 11:19 am

I mean, we're ranked in the top 20--I don't think getting a 5-seed should be a stretch. Maybe it just unfamiliar territory or we've been stung too many times.

aceofspadeskb · Post by **aceofspadeskb** » March 14th, 2024, 11:26 am

SweepDance wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 11:19 am
I mean, we're ranked in the top 20--I don't think getting a 5-seed should be a stretch. Maybe it just unfamiliar territory or we've been stung too many times.

Older Aggies remember getting left out of the tournament altogether as a ranked team.

scotlandog · Post by **scotlandog** » March 14th, 2024, 11:41 am

Real Life Aggie wrote:
dogie wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:05 am
Before yesterday’s games, the Aggies had one Q2 loss and were 5-4 in Q1 games.

UNLV dropped from 75 to 78 this morning, which changed that Q1 win to Q2. But Nevada moved from 31 to 30. That makes the home Nevada loss a Q1 game. As a result, USU now is 4-5 in Q1 games and has no Q2 losses.

I think Q1 at 4-5 with no Q2 losses is better than 5-4 in Q1 with one Q2 loss. I haven’t looked, but I’m sure that no more than ten teams have only Q1 losses.

If the Aggies beat Fresno State today, UNLV tomorrow and then win on Saturday, they will finish with a 7-5 Q1 record and no Q2 losses. That’s a 4-seed or even 3-seed resume.

Edit - there are only five teams with no losses in Q2, Q3 or Q4. Those are Houston, Purdue, UConn (top 3 NET teams), Auburn (6) and USU (31). But Auburn is only 1-7 in Q1.
The no chance we'd be a 3 seed, and no realistic chance we are a 4 seed. Perform well and we should be a 5 seed.

I think our resume isn’t far from projected 3-4 seeds right now and could be better if we win out. There’s a chance. We are projected a 5 seed right now in many brackets.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

dogie · Post by **dogie** » March 14th, 2024, 12:21 pm

This is my favorite bracketology site. I don’t know how accurate is, but he spends a massive about of time on this on Twitter. He has USU as the second of the four 5-seeds. The Aggies are just behind BYU and Auburn (with one Q1 win and no bad losses).

Aggie84025 · Post by **Aggie84025** » March 14th, 2024, 12:22 pm

Usu0505 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:59 am
The possibility of a Q4 loss today. Overlook no one!!!!!!

Especially without Mason playing today. That is a big loss. I just hope they can get through today.

OrangeCountyAggie · Post by **OrangeCountyAggie** » March 14th, 2024, 12:29 pm

dogie wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:05 am
Before yesterday’s games, the Aggies had one Q2 loss and were 5-4 in Q1 games.

UNLV dropped from 75 to 78 this morning, which changed that Q1 win to Q2. But Nevada moved from 31 to 30. That makes the home Nevada loss a Q1 game. As a result, USU now is 4-5 in Q1 games and has no Q2 losses.

I think Q1 at 4-5 with no Q2 losses is better than 5-4 in Q1 with one Q2 loss. I haven’t looked, but I’m sure that no more than ten teams have only Q1 losses.

If the Aggies beat Fresno State today, UNLV tomorrow and then win on Saturday, they will finish with a 7-5 Q1 record and no Q2 losses. That’s a 4-seed or even 3-seed resume.

Edit - there are only five teams with no losses in Q2, Q3 or Q4. Those are Houston, Purdue, UConn (top 3 NET teams), Auburn (6) and USU (31). But Auburn is only 1-7 in Q1.

The committee had us pegged at a 6 in its mock selection a few weeks ago. 4 or 5 is in the realm. If CSU can get up to 30 we'd have another Q1 win.

MalAgua · Post by **MalAgua** » March 14th, 2024, 12:47 pm

Is Bradley not a Q2 loss? Or does that count as Q1?

Also, are we Q1? How come Bradley is showing 0 Q1 wins in that case?

AGGIEinIOWA · Post by **AGGIEinIOWA** » March 14th, 2024, 12:49 pm

MalAgua wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:47 pm
Is Bradley not a Q2 loss? Or does that count as Q1?

Also, are we Q1? How come Bradley is showing 0 Q1 wins in that case?

Since it was at Bradley, we'd need to be top 30 NET for them to get a Q1, which could still happen. Bradley only needs to be top 75 NET for them to count as Q1 for us since it was on the road. They are currently 58 so safely a Q1 for us.

Aggieforlife · Post by **Aggieforlife** » March 14th, 2024, 12:50 pm

Aggie84025 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:22 pm

Usu0505 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:59 am
The possibility of a Q4 loss today. Overlook no one!!!!!!
Especially without Mason playing today. That is a big loss. I just hope they can get through today.

Is it confirmed no Mason?

AGGIEinIOWA · Post by **AGGIEinIOWA** » March 14th, 2024, 12:51 pm

Aggieforlife wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:50 pm

Aggie84025 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:22 pm

Usu0505 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 9:59 am
The possibility of a Q4 loss today. Overlook no one!!!!!!
Especially without Mason playing today. That is a big loss. I just hope they can get through today.
Is it confirmed no Mason?

Yes. HJ Sports reported it about an hour ago.

BioAggie · Post by **BioAggie** » March 14th, 2024, 12:52 pm

I see us easily becoming a 4 seed. SDSU was a projected4 seed for quite awhile before they started to drop. If we win out, there is no way with the MWC being as strong as it is this year, that they don't give us a 4 seed. I do believe it requires winning out.

MalAgua · Post by **MalAgua** » March 14th, 2024, 12:59 pm

AGGIEinIOWA wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:49 pm

MalAgua wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 12:47 pm
Is Bradley not a Q2 loss? Or does that count as Q1?

Also, are we Q1? How come Bradley is showing 0 Q1 wins in that case?

Since it was at Bradley, we'd need to be top 30 NET for them to get a Q1, which could still happen. Bradley only needs to be top 75 NET for them to count as Q1 for us since it was on the road. They are currently 58 so safely a Q1 for us.

Thanks, I was wondering if it was something like that but was too lazy to look it up

AggieUprising50 · Post by **AggieUprising50** » March 14th, 2024, 1:08 pm

tysteve20 wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 10:22 am
Heres how I'm looking at it.
Lose today: 8
Lose tomorrow: 7
Lose in the championship: 6
Win the championship: 6 with small chance at 5 depending on other conference results

My guess would be something along the lines of:
Lose today: 8
Lose tomorrow: 6
Lose in the championship: 5
Win the championship: 4 or 5

stwinward · Post by **stwinward** » March 14th, 2024, 10:16 pm

I'm guessing our Nevada loss drops to Q2 again after their early exit.

OrangeCountyAggie · Post by **OrangeCountyAggie** » March 15th, 2024, 2:29 am

stwinward wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 10:16 pm
I'm guessing our Nevada loss drops to Q2 again after their early exit.

But we might pick up another Q1 win with CSU.

dogie · Post by **dogie** » March 15th, 2024, 1:13 pm

OrangeCountyAggie wrote: ↑
March 15th, 2024, 2:29 am

stwinward wrote: ↑
March 14th, 2024, 10:16 pm
I'm guessing our Nevada loss drops to Q2 again after their early exit.
But we might pick up another Q1 win with CSU.

The Nevada loss and the UNLV win are now in the Q2 column. By the time the week is over, I expect Boise State to be 30 or better. I also expect UNLV to get back into the top 75 even though they won’t play again. They are currently 77.

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